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Tag Archives: drought

From Drought To Flood (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

About 10 days ago, a major brush fire (linked to a growing drought) erupted to the east of Naples, along I75.   The fire eventually grew to more than 8,000 acres.  Today, the same area is under a Flood Watch (Fig. 1) meaning that some two to four inches rainfall could

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Sierra Nevada snowpack increases dramatically; drought conditions wane (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

When the computer models started to forecast incredible precipitation amounts for the Sierra Nevada Mountains of California and Nevada earlier this month, I thought the numbers were somewhat exuberant. After all, California has been in the throes of an extensive and hard-hitting drought for several years. However, this storm event

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Mostly a good weather forecast (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

The following is combined forecast and weather-torial. It reflects my opinions only and not those of the GWCC web site, its directors and/or its correspondent base. During severe weather situations, the media (and the NWS) are quick to note the number of people (in the 10’s of millions) who are,

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Western U.S. drought update

California’s exceptional drought was in the news a lot in 2015. Recently, however, a series of storms has brought much needed rainfall and snowfall to the state. As a result, drought conditions have lessened in California and adjacent states (Fig. 1) during the past three months. During the next seven

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Significant rainfall coming to southern California

With the focus of U.S. weather clearly on the central U.S. (severe weather, heavy rainfall and even Rocky Mountain snow), it would be easy to overlook the upcoming weather in California. However, the significance of a May rainfall event, with the potential for mountain precipitation topping two inches (Fig. 1),

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Both high fire danger and significant precipitation events anticipated

The dry weather pattern continues for California, Arizona and Nevada. However, significant precipitation is anticipated for parts of the Pacific Northwest, the Colorado Rockies and a large part of the southeast quadrant of the Nation (Fig. 1). Each of the areas of expected high precipitation is linked to an associated

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Wet v. dry and more

Astronomical spring starts today, Fri., Mar. 20 at 6:45 p.m. E.D.T. Although the weather has recently turned or remained spring-like (or warmer) in some places, winter is not yet out of the picture. First, it is important to recognize that for yet another winter season, California and other parts of

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Boring spring weather for southwest Florida

Meteorologists love to report about extreme weather. Sometimes, however, they just have to talk about the mundane stuff, as well. Such is the case, across southwest Florida, as the first day of spring approaches and beyond…To read the entire feature, click here. Originally published 3/16/15

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Extremes in wet and dry weather across many scales

A look at the National Drought Monitor for Sept. 23, 2014 (issued on Sept. 25, 2014) shows that the western and southwestern United States drought continues (Fig. 1). At the same time that this map was being released, heavy rains had and were continuing to fall across parts of northern

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Rainfall maps showcase the haves and the have-nots for 2014

As the southwestern drought intensifies (there may be no rain for the remainder of the month in the hardest hit drought areas of California and Nevada), many places east of the Rockies have seen a plethora of rainfall in 2014. It is easy to see where the rainfall haves and

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